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Meyers
Meyers

SoPE Box: How to tell if your business idea really could succeed


By Dr. Arlen Meyers
Posted: August 6, 2012 - 12:01 am ET
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Harvard Business School Professor Clayton Christensen made the term “disruptive innovation” a household word with the 1997 publication of his groundbreaking book, The Innovator's Dilemma.

The basic idea is that to continue to grow, most companies need to continue to make improvements in their products and services to appeal to the higher, more profitable end of their markets. Unfortunately, while they are doing that, upstarts are creating disruptive innovations that capture the attention of low-end markets or new markets. Instead of killing the cash cow or selling the company and moving on to more disruptive products and markets, companies continue to stick to their ways until, in some instances, it is too late. It's happened in manufacturing (steel industry), photocopiers (Canon), computers (Apple), and it is happening in healthcare (care that's not done face-to-face).

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I come across a lot of doctors who think they have a good idea with commercial potential. If you think you have a good idea, ask yourself the following three questions:
  • Is my idea innovative? If so, does it fall into the category of sustaining innovation, low-end disruptive innovation or new market disruptive innovation? The answer to the question should guide your thinking about commercial feasibility, the value network you plan to create or challenge, and your business plan.
  • Are you planning to sell something to customers that is nice to have or they need to have? Taking top down numbers, e.g., the percentage of school-age children in India who could benefit from educational materials, is not necessarily an indication of whether their parents will buy the product. You need to validate marketing assumptions, along with your other business plan assumptions, by doing small experiments to test feasibility and market acceptance. By doing these experiments, and doing them properly, you can spend a little and learn a lot. You need to measure not only the quantity of the market pain, but the quality as well. Not all patients need narcotics.
  • Does your business model make sense? Where you pick to play should determine potential revenue, cost of goods sold, profit margins and overhead expenses. If you plan to challenge market leaders with a product that offers minor sustaining innovative features and benefits, you are likely to fail.
Answering these three questions early in your planning process should help determine whether your idea has the potential to be a successful technology, product or business. In addition, since investors will be asking these questions when you look for money, it will prepare you for what's to come. Finally, you will be confronted with the innovator's dilemma just like every other entrepreneur, so watch your flank.

Good luck with your new venture.

Dr. Arlen Meyers

Professor of otolaryngology, engineering and dentistry

University of Colorado

Founder, CEO and president

Society of Physician Entrepreneurs



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